Internal prediction market
What does your company actually think?
Trade anonymously on the questions leadership cares about. Prices are the crowd's real-time probability — the truth reaches the CEO before the deadline does.
Ops✓ NO
Did we resolve the payments outage within the 4-hour SLA?
Final outcomeNO
🪙 244 vol👥 7 traders
Marketing✓ YES
Did the beta launch attract 1,000 signups in week one?
Final outcomeYES
🪙 312 vol👥 7 traders
Sales✓ NO
Did the Q2 sales target of $3.8M get hit?
Final outcomeNO
🪙 723 vol👥 11 traders
General✓ YES
Did the Q2 all-hands happen before June 15?
Final outcomeYES
🪙 310 vol👥 4 traders
ProductAwaiting result
Did we hit 10,000 weekly active users in June?
60% chance yes
YES 60%NO 40%
🪙 434 vol👥 7 traders
DeliveryAwaiting result
Did the June release go out on schedule?
74% chance yes
YES 74%NO 26%
🪙 221 vol👥 6 traders
Finance⏳ 3mo left
Will churn stay below 3% monthly this quarter?
69% chance yes
YES 69%NO 31%
🪙 413 vol👥 7 traders
Product⏳ 18d left
Will we ship dark mode before the design refresh?
58% chance yes
YES 58%NO 42%
🪙 433 vol👥 9 traders
Marketing⏳ 26d left
Will the referral program drive 500+ signups in its first month?
21% chance yes
YES 21%NO 79%
🪙 536 vol👥 8 traders
Ops⏳ 2mo left
Will the London office open before Q4?
56% chance yes
YES 56%NO 44%
🪙 271 vol👥 7 traders
Ops⏳ 33d left
Will the security audit pass with zero critical findings?
75% chance yes
YES 75%NO 25%
🪙 355 vol👥 8 traders
Product⏳ 48d left
Will NPS improve to 45+ in the next survey?
77% chance yes
YES 77%NO 23%
🪙 461 vol👥 8 traders
Finance⏳ 3mo left
Will we keep cloud spend under $180k this quarter?
16% chance yes
YES 16%NO 84%
🪙 235 vol👥 5 traders
Delivery⏳ 2mo left
Will the API v2 launch slip past its September date?
30% chance yes
YES 30%NO 70%
🪙 881 vol👥 13 traders
Hiring⏳ 6mo left
Will employee headcount cross 250 by December?
49% chance yes
YES 49%NO 51%
🪙 490 vol👥 6 traders
Sales⏳ 38d left
Will we onboard Acme Corp as an enterprise customer?
48% chance yes
YES 48%NO 52%
🪙 360 vol👥 5 traders
Product⏳ 22d left
Will the new pricing page lift conversion by 10%+?
38% chance yes
YES 38%NO 62%
🪙 443 vol👥 6 traders
Finance⏳ 3mo left
Will gross margin exceed 72% this quarter?
21% chance yes
YES 21%NO 79%
🪙 1,091 vol👥 10 traders
Marketing⏳ 53d left
Will the Q3 marketing campaign reach 1M qualified leads?
10% chance yes
YES 10%NO 90%
🪙 519 vol👥 8 traders
Ops⏳ 31d left
Will the datacenter migration finish without a Sev-1 incident?
37% chance yes
YES 37%NO 63%
🪙 552 vol👥 11 traders
Hiring⏳ 2mo left
Will we hire a new VP of Engineering before October?
6% chance yes
YES 6%NO 94%
🪙 552 vol👥 9 traders
Product⏳ 6mo left
Will the mobile app hit a 4.5★ average rating by year end?
51% chance yes
YES 51%NO 49%
🪙 261 vol👥 4 traders
Sales⏳ 3mo left
Will we close the Q3 sales target of $4.2M?
87% chance yes
YES 87%NO 13%
🪙 1,023 vol👥 12 traders
Delivery⏳ 44d left
Will Project Atlas ship to production by Aug 31, 2026?
58% chance yes
YES 58%NO 42%
🪙 771 vol👥 13 traders